Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By AINAVO HOLDINGS Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:7539) 27% Share Price Plunge

TSE:7539
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AINAVO HOLDINGS Co.,Ltd. (TSE:7539) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 9.7% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may still consider AINAVO HOLDINGSLtd as an attractive investment with its 10.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at AINAVO HOLDINGSLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for AINAVO HOLDINGSLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:7539 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on AINAVO HOLDINGSLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For AINAVO HOLDINGSLtd?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as AINAVO HOLDINGSLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 13% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 9.8% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that AINAVO HOLDINGSLtd's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Bottom Line On AINAVO HOLDINGSLtd's P/E

AINAVO HOLDINGSLtd's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that AINAVO HOLDINGSLtd maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for AINAVO HOLDINGSLtd (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.