Casio Computer Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:6952) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥22.50 per share on 15th of December. This means the annual payment is 3.9% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
Estimates Indicate Casio ComputerLtd's Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Before making this announcement, the company's dividend was much higher than its earnings. Without profits and cash flows increasing, it would be difficult for the company to continue paying the dividend at this level.
The next 12 months is set to see EPS grow by 17.7%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 111%, which probably can't continue without putting some pressure on the balance sheet.
View our latest analysis for Casio ComputerLtd
Casio ComputerLtd Has A Solid Track Record
The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from ¥25.00 total annually to ¥45.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 6.1% over that duration. Companies like this can be very valuable over the long term, if the decent rate of growth can be maintained.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. Over the past five years, it looks as though Casio ComputerLtd's EPS has declined at around 13% a year. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this becomes a long term trend.
Casio ComputerLtd's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. In the past the payments have been stable, but we think the company is paying out too much for this to continue for the long term. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Casio ComputerLtd (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6952
Casio ComputerLtd
Develops, produces, and sells consumer, system equipment, and other products.
Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.
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