Stock Analysis

Matsuoka's (TSE:3611) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

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TSE:3611

The board of Matsuoka Corporation (TSE:3611) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of ¥90.00 on the 30th of June, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This makes the dividend yield 4.6%, which is above the industry average.

View our latest analysis for Matsuoka

Matsuoka's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Before making this announcement, Matsuoka was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. As a result, a large proportion of what it earned was being reinvested back into the business.

EPS is set to fall by 6.6% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 38%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.

TSE:3611 Historic Dividend March 9th 2025

Matsuoka Is Still Building Its Track Record

It is great to see that Matsuoka has been paying a stable dividend for a number of years now, however we want to be a bit cautious about whether this will remain true through a full economic cycle. Since 2018, the dividend has gone from ¥40.00 total annually to ¥90.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 12% over that duration. It is always nice to see strong dividend growth, but with such a short payment history we wouldn't be inclined to rely on it until a longer track record can be developed.

Dividend Growth Is Doubtful

The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. Matsuoka has seen earnings per share falling at 6.6% per year over the last five years. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits.

Our Thoughts On Matsuoka's Dividend

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Matsuoka will make a great income stock. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Are management backing themselves to deliver performance? Check their shareholdings in Matsuoka in our latest insider ownership analysis. Is Matsuoka not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.