Stock Analysis

Sumitomo Forestry (TSE:1911) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ¥91.00

TSE:1911
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Sumitomo Forestry Co., Ltd. (TSE:1911) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 9th of September to ¥91.00. This will take the annual payment to 4.3% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

We've discovered 1 warning sign about Sumitomo Forestry. View them for free.

Sumitomo Forestry's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Sumitomo Forestry is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 10.2% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 33%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
TSE:1911 Historic Dividend April 26th 2025

Check out our latest analysis for Sumitomo Forestry

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from ¥19.00 total annually to ¥182.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 25% per annum over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's encouraging to see that Sumitomo Forestry has been growing its earnings per share at 23% a year over the past five years. Earnings per share is growing at a solid clip, and the payout ratio is low which we think is an ideal combination in a dividend stock as the company can quite easily raise the dividend in the future.

Our Thoughts On Sumitomo Forestry's Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Sumitomo Forestry's payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Sumitomo Forestry that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:1911

Sumitomo Forestry

Engages in the timber building materials, housing, overseas housing, construction, and real estate, and resources and environment businesses in Japan, the United States, Australia, China, Indonesia, New Zealand, and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.