Stock Analysis

TakanoLtd (TSE:7885) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥20.00

TSE:7885
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The board of Takano Co.,Ltd. (TSE:7885) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 6th of June, with investors receiving ¥20.00 per share. The dividend yield will be 2.8% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.

View our latest analysis for TakanoLtd

Estimates Indicate TakanoLtd's Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Based on the last payment, TakanoLtd's profits didn't cover the dividend, but the company was generating enough cash instead. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.

EPS is set to fall by 18.8% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 167%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
TSE:7885 Historic Dividend November 12th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥8.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥20.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.6% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. TakanoLtd might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. TakanoLtd's EPS has fallen by approximately 19% per year during the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.

TakanoLtd's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about TakanoLtd's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 3 warning signs for TakanoLtd that investors should take into consideration. Is TakanoLtd not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.