The board of Takano Co.,Ltd. (TSE:7885) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 6th of June, with investors receiving ¥20.00 per share. The dividend yield will be 2.8% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
View our latest analysis for TakanoLtd
Estimates Indicate TakanoLtd's Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Based on the last payment, TakanoLtd's profits didn't cover the dividend, but the company was generating enough cash instead. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.
EPS is set to fall by 18.8% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 167%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥8.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥20.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.6% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. TakanoLtd might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. TakanoLtd's EPS has fallen by approximately 19% per year during the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.
TakanoLtd's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about TakanoLtd's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 3 warning signs for TakanoLtd that investors should take into consideration. Is TakanoLtd not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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About TSE:7885
TakanoLtd
Manufactures and sells office chairs and other office furniture, springs, exterior products, electronics-related products, and equipment for health and welfare in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.