Stock Analysis

Market Cool On VisasQ Inc.'s (TSE:4490) Revenues Pushing Shares 30% Lower

TSE:4490
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VisasQ Inc. (TSE:4490) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 30% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 52% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about VisasQ's P/S ratio of 1.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Professional Services industry in Japan is also close to 1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for VisasQ

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4490 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 20th 2024

What Does VisasQ's Recent Performance Look Like?

VisasQ certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on VisasQ will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is VisasQ's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, VisasQ would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, even though the last 12 month performance was only fair. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 12% per year during the coming three years according to the sole analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 6.6% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that VisasQ's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for VisasQ looks to be in line with the rest of the Professional Services industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Looking at VisasQ's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for VisasQ (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.