Stock Analysis

Ecomic Co., Ltd (TSE:3802) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

TSE:3802
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Ecomic's (TSE:3802) stock is up by a considerable 18% over the past month. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Ecomic's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

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How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Ecomic is:

2.4% = JP¥43m ÷ JP¥1.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every ¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of ¥0.02.

View our latest analysis for Ecomic

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Ecomic's Earnings Growth And 2.4% ROE

It is quite clear that Ecomic's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 15%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Therefore, Ecomic's flat earnings over the past five years can possibly be explained by the low ROE amongst other factors.

We then compared Ecomic's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 13% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

past-earnings-growth
TSE:3802 Past Earnings Growth July 2nd 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Ecomic's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Ecomic Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Ecomic's low three-year median payout ratio of 23% (implying that the company keeps77% of its income) should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth and this should be reflected in its growth number, but that's not the case.

Additionally, Ecomic has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Ecomic. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Ecomic's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ecomic might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.