When researching a stock for investment, what can tell us that the company is in decline? Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. This indicates to us that the business is not only shrinking the size of its net assets, but its returns are falling as well. So after glancing at the trends within Asaka Riken (TYO:5724), we weren't too hopeful.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Asaka Riken is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.02 = JP¥85m ÷ (JP¥6.9b - JP¥2.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
So, Asaka Riken has an ROCE of 2.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Commercial Services industry average of 7.7%.
View our latest analysis for Asaka Riken
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Asaka Riken's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating Asaka Riken's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of Asaka Riken's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 5.3% that they were earning five years ago. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Asaka Riken to turn into a multi-bagger.
In Conclusion...
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Yet despite these poor fundamentals, the stock has gained a huge 269% over the last five years, so investors appear very optimistic. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Asaka Riken (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should know about.
While Asaka Riken may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:5724
Asaka RikenLtd
Engages in the precious metal, environmental, and other businesses in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet with acceptable track record.