Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that TOSNET Corporation (TYO:4754) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for TOSNET
What Is TOSNET's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that TOSNET had JP¥1.08b of debt in September 2020, down from JP¥1.14b, one year before. However, it does have JP¥4.11b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of JP¥3.03b.
A Look At TOSNET's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, TOSNET had liabilities of JP¥1.93b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥899.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had JP¥4.11b in cash and JP¥1.17b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has JP¥2.45b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus strongly suggests that TOSNET has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). On this basis we think its balance sheet is strong like a sleek panther or even a proud lion. Succinctly put, TOSNET boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In fact TOSNET's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 55% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is TOSNET's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. TOSNET may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, TOSNET generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 80% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case TOSNET has JP¥3.03b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 80% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in JP¥543m. So is TOSNET's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for TOSNET (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About TSE:4754
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.