Stock Analysis

Here's Why Human Holdings (TYO:2415) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

TSE:2415
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Human Holdings Co., Ltd. (TYO:2415) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Human Holdings

How Much Debt Does Human Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Human Holdings had JP¥10.1b of debt, an increase on JP¥7.74b, over one year. But on the other hand it also has JP¥22.2b in cash, leading to a JP¥12.2b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
JASDAQ:2415 Debt to Equity History December 7th 2020

How Healthy Is Human Holdings's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Human Holdings had liabilities of JP¥22.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥7.92b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥22.2b as well as receivables valued at JP¥9.16b due within 12 months. So it can boast JP¥1.48b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity suggests that Human Holdings is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, Human Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Fortunately, Human Holdings grew its EBIT by 2.2% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Human Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Human Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Human Holdings created free cash flow amounting to 16% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Summing up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Human Holdings has net cash of JP¥12.2b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it also grew its EBIT by 2.2% over the last year. So we are not troubled with Human Holdings's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Human Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those can't be ignored...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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