If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating Kamei (TSE:8037), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Kamei, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.081 = JP¥16b ÷ (JP¥325b - JP¥132b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
So, Kamei has an ROCE of 8.1%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 7.4% average generated by the Trade Distributors industry.
See our latest analysis for Kamei
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Kamei's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating Kamei's past further, check out this free graph covering Kamei's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at Kamei. The company has employed 45% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 8.1%. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
On a side note, Kamei's current liabilities are still rather high at 41% of total assets. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
In Conclusion...
In conclusion, Kamei has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 139% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
Kamei could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation for 8037 on our platform quite valuable.
While Kamei may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:8037
Kamei
Operates as a general trading company in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.