ShinMaywa Industries, Ltd. (TSE:7224) will pay a dividend of ¥27.00 on the 2nd of December. This will take the annual payment to 3.1% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.
ShinMaywa Industries' Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. ShinMaywa Industries was earning enough to cover the previous dividend, but it was paying out quite a large proportion of its free cash flows. The company is clearly earning enough to pay this type of dividend, but it is definitely focused on returning cash to shareholders, rather than growing the business.
Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 4.1% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 46%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Check out our latest analysis for ShinMaywa Industries
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from ¥14.00 total annually to ¥54.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14% a year over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
ShinMaywa Industries May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Earnings has been rising at 4.1% per annum over the last five years, which admittedly is a bit slow. The company has been growing at a pretty soft 4.1% per annum, and is paying out quite a lot of its earnings to shareholders. This isn't necessarily bad, but we wouldn't expect rapid dividend growth in the future.
Our Thoughts On ShinMaywa Industries' Dividend
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think ShinMaywa Industries' payments are rock solid. While ShinMaywa Industries is earning enough to cover the dividend, we are generally unimpressed with its future prospects. We don't think ShinMaywa Industries is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for ShinMaywa Industries that investors should take into consideration. Is ShinMaywa Industries not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7224
ShinMaywa Industries
Engages in the manufacture and sale of transportation equipment in Japan, Asia, North America, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with acceptable track record.
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