Capital Allocation Trends At Hino Motors (TSE:7205) Aren't Ideal
What financial metrics can indicate to us that a company is maturing or even in decline? Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. Having said that, after a brief look, Hino Motors (TSE:7205) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Hino Motors, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.023 = JP¥9.2b ÷ (JP¥1.4t - JP¥1.0t) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Thus, Hino Motors has an ROCE of 2.3%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Machinery industry average of 8.1%.
View our latest analysis for Hino Motors
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Hino Motors compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Hino Motors .
How Are Returns Trending?
We are a bit anxious about the trends of ROCE at Hino Motors. The company used to generate 11% on its capital five years ago but it has since fallen noticeably. In addition to that, Hino Motors is now employing 43% less capital than it was five years ago. The fact that both are shrinking is an indication that the business is going through some tough times. If these underlying trends continue, we wouldn't be too optimistic going forward.
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 71%, which has impacted the ROCE. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. What this means is that in reality, a rather large portion of the business is being funded by the likes of the company's suppliers or short-term creditors, which can bring some risks of its own.
The Bottom Line On Hino Motors' ROCE
To see Hino Motors reducing the capital employed in the business in tandem with diminishing returns, is concerning. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last five years have experienced a 60% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
Hino Motors does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
While Hino Motors isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hino Motors might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7205
Hino Motors
Manufactures and sells large commercial vehicles under the Hino brand worldwide.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.