Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Namura Shipbuilding Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:7014) Earnings Yet As Shares Tumble 38%

TSE:7014
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Namura Shipbuilding Co., Ltd. (TSE:7014) shares have had a horrible month, losing 38% after a relatively good period beforehand. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 151% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Namura Shipbuilding may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.6x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 15x and even P/E's higher than 22x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Namura Shipbuilding as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Namura Shipbuilding

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:7014 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 2nd 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Namura Shipbuilding will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Namura Shipbuilding?

Namura Shipbuilding's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 78% gain to the company's bottom line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 9.8% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we can see why Namura Shipbuilding is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

What We Can Learn From Namura Shipbuilding's P/E?

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Namura Shipbuilding's share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Namura Shipbuilding revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Namura Shipbuilding you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

You might be able to find a better investment than Namura Shipbuilding. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Namura Shipbuilding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.