Namura Shipbuilding Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:7014) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 35%
Namura Shipbuilding Co., Ltd. (TSE:7014) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 35% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 368% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.
Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 15x, you may still consider Namura Shipbuilding as an attractive investment with its 8.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Namura Shipbuilding has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Namura Shipbuilding
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Namura Shipbuilding's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Growth For Namura Shipbuilding?
Namura Shipbuilding's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 78% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 9.8% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we can see why Namura Shipbuilding is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Namura Shipbuilding's P/E close to the market median. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Namura Shipbuilding maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Namura Shipbuilding that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Namura Shipbuilding. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Namura Shipbuilding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7014
Namura Shipbuilding
Engages in the manufacture and sale of ships, machinery, and steel structures worldwide.
Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet.