Nippon Tungsten Co., Ltd. (TSE:6998) will pay a dividend of ¥25.00 on the 9th of June. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 4.1%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
See our latest analysis for Nippon Tungsten
Nippon Tungsten's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Based on the last payment, Nippon Tungsten was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.
Unless the company can turn things around, EPS could fall by 2.0% over the next year. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 51%, which is definitely feasible to continue.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from ¥20.00 total annually to ¥50.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 9.6% per annum over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Nippon Tungsten might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
Nippon Tungsten May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. In the last five years, Nippon Tungsten's earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 2.0% per annum. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Nippon Tungsten's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Nippon Tungsten that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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About TSE:6998
Nippon Tungsten
Provides rare metal and fine ceramic products primarily composed of tungsten based on powder metallurgical technology.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.