The board of Nippon Tungsten Co., Ltd. (TSE:6998) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥25.00 per share on the 6th of December. The dividend yield will be 4.0% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
Check out our latest analysis for Nippon Tungsten
Nippon Tungsten's Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, Nippon Tungsten's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. No cash flows could definitely make returning cash to shareholders difficult, or at least mean the balance sheet will come under pressure.
Unless the company can turn things around, EPS could fall by 5.1% over the next year. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 52%, which is definitely feasible to continue.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥20.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥50.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 9.6% over that duration. We have seen cuts in the past, so while the growth looks promising we would be a little bit cautious about its track record.
Dividend Growth Is Doubtful
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Nippon Tungsten has seen earnings per share falling at 5.1% per year over the last five years. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed.
Nippon Tungsten's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Nippon Tungsten that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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About TSE:6998
Nippon Tungsten
Provides rare metal and fine ceramic products primarily composed of tungsten based on powder metallurgical technology.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.