NSK Ltd.'s (TSE:6471) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥15.00 per share on 7th of June. The dividend yield will be 3.6% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
Check out our latest analysis for NSK
NSK's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. However, prior to this announcement, NSK's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that most of what the business earns is being used to help it grow.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 106.2% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 44%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥12.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥30.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 9.6% per annum over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. NSK might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. NSK's earnings per share has shrunk at 24% a year over the past five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.
In Summary
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about NSK's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We don't think NSK is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for NSK that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is NSK not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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About TSE:6471
NSK
Manufactures and sells industrial machinery bearings, automotive products, and precision machinery and parts worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet with moderate growth potential.