Stock Analysis

Max (TSE:6454) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

TSE:6454
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Max Co., Ltd. (TSE:6454) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Max

How Much Debt Does Max Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Max had debt of JP¥1.18b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from JP¥1.98b over a year. But it also has JP¥38.2b in cash to offset that, meaning it has JP¥37.0b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:6454 Debt to Equity History May 22nd 2024

How Strong Is Max's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Max had liabilities of JP¥14.3b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥7.57b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥38.2b and JP¥15.8b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has JP¥32.1b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that Max is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Max has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

Also positive, Max grew its EBIT by 27% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Max's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Max may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Max recorded free cash flow worth 50% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Max has net cash of JP¥37.0b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And we liked the look of last year's 27% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is Max's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Max, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Max is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.