Tadano Ltd.

TSE:6395 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥147.3b

Tadano Valuation

Is 6395 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6395 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6395 (¥1158.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1485.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6395 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6395?

Key metric: As 6395 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6395. This is calculated by dividing 6395's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6395's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.7x
EarningsJP¥11.62b
Market CapJP¥147.29b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6395's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6395 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.5x
7105 Mitsubishi Logisnext
6.5xn/aJP¥135.2b
7014 Namura Shipbuilding
4.2xn/aJP¥112.5b
6432 Takeuchi Mfg
7.5x-2.6%JP¥228.6b
6455 Morita Holdings
11.8xn/aJP¥90.7b
6395 Tadano
12.7x7.6%JP¥147.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6395 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x) compared to the peer average (7.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6395's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
6395 12.7xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies39PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6395 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x) compared to the JP Machinery industry average (12.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6395's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6395 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.7x
Fair PE Ratio12.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6395 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6395 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,158.50
JP¥1,275.00
+10.1%
17.9%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,000.00n/a4
Nov ’25JP¥962.40
JP¥1,275.00
+32.5%
17.9%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,000.00n/a4
Oct ’25JP¥969.50
JP¥1,350.00
+39.2%
15.3%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,000.00n/a4
Sep ’25JP¥980.00
JP¥1,300.00
+32.7%
16.1%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,000.00n/a5
Aug ’25JP¥1,075.50
JP¥1,360.00
+26.5%
11.0%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,100.00n/a5
Jul ’25JP¥1,154.50
JP¥1,360.00
+17.8%
11.0%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,100.00n/a5
Jun ’25JP¥1,109.50
JP¥1,360.00
+22.6%
11.0%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,100.00n/a5
May ’25JP¥1,239.50
JP¥1,360.00
+9.7%
11.0%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,100.00n/a5
Apr ’25JP¥1,288.00
JP¥1,360.00
+5.6%
11.0%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,100.00n/a5
Mar ’25JP¥1,256.50
JP¥1,320.00
+5.1%
12.1%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,100.00n/a5
Feb ’25JP¥1,190.50
JP¥1,270.00
+6.7%
11.0%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,100.00n/a5
Jan ’25JP¥1,179.00
JP¥1,260.00
+6.9%
11.6%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,100.00n/a5
Dec ’24JP¥1,160.00
JP¥1,375.00
+18.5%
22.4%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,100.00n/a6
Nov ’24JP¥1,141.50
JP¥1,358.33
+19.0%
23.1%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥962.406
Oct ’24JP¥1,271.00
JP¥1,321.43
+4.0%
23.0%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥969.507
Sep ’24JP¥1,197.50
JP¥1,127.43
-5.9%
6.6%JP¥1,200.00JP¥970.00JP¥980.007
Aug ’24JP¥1,115.00
JP¥1,097.14
-1.6%
8.4%JP¥1,200.00JP¥960.00JP¥1,075.507
Jul ’24JP¥1,144.50
JP¥1,075.71
-6.0%
8.8%JP¥1,200.00JP¥960.00JP¥1,154.507
Jun ’24JP¥1,027.00
JP¥1,074.29
+4.6%
8.9%JP¥1,200.00JP¥960.00JP¥1,109.507
May ’24JP¥1,071.00
JP¥1,074.29
+0.3%
8.9%JP¥1,200.00JP¥960.00JP¥1,239.507
Apr ’24JP¥1,043.00
JP¥1,074.29
+3.0%
8.9%JP¥1,200.00JP¥960.00JP¥1,288.007
Mar ’24JP¥1,055.00
JP¥1,070.00
+1.4%
9.5%JP¥1,200.00JP¥930.00JP¥1,256.507
Feb ’24JP¥945.00
JP¥1,040.00
+10.1%
8.7%JP¥1,200.00JP¥930.00JP¥1,190.506
Jan ’24JP¥917.00
JP¥1,040.00
+13.4%
8.7%JP¥1,200.00JP¥930.00JP¥1,179.006
Dec ’23JP¥984.00
JP¥1,036.67
+5.4%
9.2%JP¥1,200.00JP¥910.00JP¥1,160.006
Nov ’23JP¥923.00
JP¥1,036.67
+12.3%
9.2%JP¥1,200.00JP¥910.00JP¥1,141.506

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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