With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.7x in the Machinery industry in Japan, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Kitagawa Corporation's (TSE:6317) P/S ratio of 0.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
View our latest analysis for Kitagawa
What Does Kitagawa's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Kitagawa, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Kitagawa will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Kitagawa's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Kitagawa's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.1%. Revenue has also lifted 26% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 5.5% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Kitagawa's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What Does Kitagawa's P/S Mean For Investors?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Kitagawa currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Kitagawa you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Kitagawa, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kitagawa might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:6317
Kitagawa
Manufactures and supplies synthetic metals, machine tool accessories, and industrial machinery in Japan and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet established dividend payer.