Stock Analysis

Maruyama Mfg (TSE:6316) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

TSE:6316
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Maruyama Mfg. Co., Inc. (TSE:6316) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Maruyama Mfg

How Much Debt Does Maruyama Mfg Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Maruyama Mfg had JP¥7.35b of debt, an increase on JP¥3.73b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of JP¥4.42b, its net debt is less, at about JP¥2.94b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:6316 Debt to Equity History October 11th 2024

How Strong Is Maruyama Mfg's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Maruyama Mfg had liabilities of JP¥17.1b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥2.72b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥4.42b and JP¥8.09b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥7.35b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of JP¥9.01b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Maruyama Mfg has net debt of just 1.1 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. Another good sign is that Maruyama Mfg has been able to increase its EBIT by 20% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Maruyama Mfg will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Maruyama Mfg burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Neither Maruyama Mfg's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Maruyama Mfg's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Maruyama Mfg that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.