Hirata Corporation's (TSE:6258) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ¥100.00 on 5th of June. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 1.3% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Hirata's stock price has increased by 34% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
See our latest analysis for Hirata
Hirata's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Based on the last payment, Hirata was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 9.8%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 19% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥12.50 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥100.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 23% per annum over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Earnings per share has been crawling upwards at 3.2% per year. While growth may be thin on the ground, Hirata could always pay out a higher proportion of earnings to increase shareholder returns.
In Summary
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Hirata's payments are rock solid. While Hirata is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Earnings growth generally bodes well for the future value of company dividend payments. See if the 4 Hirata analysts we track are forecasting continued growth with our free report on analyst estimates for the company. Is Hirata not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6258
Hirata
Manufactures and sells various manufacturing line systems, industrial robots, and logistic equipment in Japan and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.