Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Punch Industry Co., Ltd. (TSE:6165) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does Punch Industry Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Punch Industry had JP¥2.90b of debt in September 2025, down from JP¥3.12b, one year before. However, it does have JP¥5.42b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of JP¥2.52b.
How Strong Is Punch Industry's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Punch Industry had liabilities of JP¥8.79b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥1.89b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥5.42b in cash and JP¥12.5b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has JP¥7.27b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus strongly suggests that Punch Industry has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Simply put, the fact that Punch Industry has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
Check out our latest analysis for Punch Industry
On top of that, Punch Industry grew its EBIT by 40% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Punch Industry will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Punch Industry may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Punch Industry recorded free cash flow worth 50% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Punch Industry has JP¥2.52b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 40% year-on-year EBIT growth. The bottom line is that we do not find Punch Industry's debt levels at all concerning. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Punch Industry you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6165
Punch Industry
Manufactures and sells mold and die components in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.
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