Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. Trends like this ultimately mean the business is reducing its investments and also earning less on what it has invested. And from a first read, things don't look too good at Yamazaki (TSE:6147), so let's see why.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Yamazaki, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.047 = JP¥91m ÷ (JP¥4.1b - JP¥2.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Therefore, Yamazaki has an ROCE of 4.7%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Machinery industry average of 7.8%.
Check out our latest analysis for Yamazaki
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Yamazaki has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Yamazaki's past earnings, revenue and cash flow .
What Does the ROCE Trend For Yamazaki Tell Us?
The trend of returns that Yamazaki is generating are raising some concerns. Unfortunately, returns have declined substantially over the last five years to the 4.7% we see today. What's equally concerning is that the amount of capital deployed in the business has shrunk by 23% over that same period. When you see both ROCE and capital employed diminishing, it can often be a sign of a mature and shrinking business that might be in structural decline. Typically businesses that exhibit these characteristics aren't the ones that tend to multiply over the long term, because statistically speaking, they've already gone through the growth phase of their life cycle.
Another thing to note, Yamazaki has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 53%. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
Our Take On Yamazaki's ROCE
To see Yamazaki reducing the capital employed in the business in tandem with diminishing returns, is concerning. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 18% from where it was five years ago. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 4 warning signs with Yamazaki (at least 2 which are a bit concerning) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.
While Yamazaki isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6147
Yamazaki
Manufactures and sells various machine tools in Japan and internationally.
Acceptable track record with mediocre balance sheet.
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