Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Nittoku Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:6145) Price
When close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider Nittoku Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6145) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 18.3x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
NittokuLtd hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for NittokuLtd
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There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like NittokuLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 17% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 84% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 29% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why NittokuLtd is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of NittokuLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for NittokuLtd with six simple checks.
You might be able to find a better investment than NittokuLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6145
NittokuLtd
Develops, manufactures, sells, and services automatic winding machines, and related machinery and parts in Japan and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet established dividend payer.