Not Many Are Piling Into Nittoku Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6145) Stock Yet As It Plummets 25%
Nittoku Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6145) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 38% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, NittokuLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 13x and even P/E's above 20x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
NittokuLtd certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for NittokuLtd
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on NittokuLtd.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like NittokuLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 23% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 120% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 20% each year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 9.6% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's peculiar that NittokuLtd's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
The softening of NittokuLtd's shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that NittokuLtd currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - NittokuLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than NittokuLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6145
NittokuLtd
Develops, manufactures, sells, and services automatic winding machines, and related machinery and parts in Japan and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet established dividend payer.