Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Koike Sanso Kogyo Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:6137) 30% Price Drop

TSE:6137
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Koike Sanso Kogyo Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6137) share price has dived 30% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 9.6% over the last twelve months.

Even after such a large drop in price, Koike Sanso KogyoLtd may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.6x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 14x and even P/E's higher than 21x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Koike Sanso KogyoLtd has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Koike Sanso KogyoLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:6137 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Koike Sanso KogyoLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Koike Sanso KogyoLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 47% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 9.8% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we can see why Koike Sanso KogyoLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Koike Sanso KogyoLtd's P/E?

Shares in Koike Sanso KogyoLtd have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Koike Sanso KogyoLtd revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware Koike Sanso KogyoLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored.

If you're unsure about the strength of Koike Sanso KogyoLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Koike Sanso KogyoLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.