Stock Analysis

Yamashina Corporation (TSE:5955) Stock Rockets 49% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

TSE:5955
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Yamashina Corporation (TSE:5955) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 49% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 74%.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider Yamashina as a stock to avoid entirely with its 59.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

For instance, Yamashina's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Yamashina

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:5955 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Yamashina, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Yamashina's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Yamashina would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 43%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 21% overall rise in EPS. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 11% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Yamashina is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Yamashina's P/E

Yamashina's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Yamashina currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Yamashina.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.