Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Nippon Hume Corporation's (TSE:5262) Muted Earnings Despite A 36% Share Price Rise

TSE:5262
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Nippon Hume Corporation (TSE:5262) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 36% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 43% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Nippon Hume may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.4x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 14x and even P/E's higher than 22x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Nippon Hume has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Nippon Hume

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:5262 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 4th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Nippon Hume will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Nippon Hume would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 63%. As a result, it also grew EPS by 25% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 11% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that Nippon Hume's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Nippon Hume's P/E close to the market median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Nippon Hume revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Nippon Hume (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nippon Hume might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.