ALCONIX Corporation's (TSE:3036) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥32.00 per share on 20th of June. This will take the annual payment to 4.5% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.
See our latest analysis for ALCONIX
Estimates Indicate ALCONIX's Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. The last payment made up 77% of earnings, but cash flows were much higher. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.
EPS is set to fall by 8.9% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 101%, which is definitely a bit high to be sustainable going forward.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥15.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥64.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16% a year over that time. ALCONIX has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's not great to see that ALCONIX's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 8.9% per year over the past five years. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed.
In Summary
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think ALCONIX will make a great income stock. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've identified 5 warning signs for ALCONIX (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:3036
ALCONIX
Imports, exports, and sells non-ferrous metal products in Japan and internationally.
Established dividend payer moderate.