Stock Analysis

We Think Nitcho (TSE:2961) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

TSE:2961
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Nitcho Corporation (TSE:2961) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does Nitcho Carry?

As you can see below, Nitcho had JP¥230.0m of debt, at December 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have JP¥3.86b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of JP¥3.63b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:2961 Debt to Equity History April 15th 2025

A Look At Nitcho's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Nitcho had liabilities of JP¥5.07b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥1.14b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥3.86b as well as receivables valued at JP¥3.63b due within 12 months. So it actually has JP¥1.28b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity suggests that Nitcho is taking a careful approach to debt. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Nitcho boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Check out our latest analysis for Nitcho

On top of that, Nitcho grew its EBIT by 96% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Nitcho's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Nitcho has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Nitcho produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 62% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Nitcho has JP¥3.63b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 96% over the last year. So is Nitcho's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Nitcho you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nitcho might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.