Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Shin Nippon Air Technologies Co., Ltd. (TSE:1952) With Shares Advancing 31%

TSE:1952
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Despite an already strong run, Shin Nippon Air Technologies Co., Ltd. (TSE:1952) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 31% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 99% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Shin Nippon Air Technologies' P/E ratio of 13.1x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Japan is also close to 15x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

The earnings growth achieved at Shin Nippon Air Technologies over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Shin Nippon Air Technologies

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:1952 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 10th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shin Nippon Air Technologies will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Shin Nippon Air Technologies' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 29% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen a 20% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 11% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's curious that Shin Nippon Air Technologies' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Shin Nippon Air Technologies' P/E

Shin Nippon Air Technologies appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Shin Nippon Air Technologies revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Shin Nippon Air Technologies has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Shin Nippon Air Technologies. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shin Nippon Air Technologies is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.