Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Kinden Corporation (TSE:1944) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
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What Is Kinden's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Kinden had JP¥15.8b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But it also has JP¥199.2b in cash to offset that, meaning it has JP¥183.4b net cash.
How Strong Is Kinden's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kinden had liabilities of JP¥158.7b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥35.9b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥199.2b in cash and JP¥184.4b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast JP¥189.1b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
It's good to see that Kinden has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Kinden has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
Also good is that Kinden grew its EBIT at 15% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Kinden can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Kinden has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Kinden's free cash flow amounted to 30% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Kinden has JP¥183.4b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 15% over the last year. So we don't think Kinden's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Kinden you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:1944
Kinden
Provides integrated electrical and facility engineering services in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.