Stock Analysis

Nippon Dry-Chemical Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:1909) Shares Bounce 26% But Its Business Still Trails The Market

TSE:1909
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The Nippon Dry-Chemical Co., Ltd. (TSE:1909) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 50%.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may still consider Nippon Dry-Chemical as a highly attractive investment with its 6.1x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Nippon Dry-Chemical certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Nippon Dry-Chemical

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:1909 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 24th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Nippon Dry-Chemical.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

Nippon Dry-Chemical's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 26% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 61% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 13% during the coming year according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 10%, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Nippon Dry-Chemical's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

Nippon Dry-Chemical's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Nippon Dry-Chemical maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Nippon Dry-Chemical has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nippon Dry-Chemical might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.