The board of Okumura Corporation (TSE:1833) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥110.00 per share on the 10th of December. However, the dividend yield of 4.6% is still a decent boost to shareholder returns.
Okumura's Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, the dividend made up 150% of earnings, and the company was generating negative free cash flows. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating any free cash flow would definitely be difficult to keep up.
EPS is set to fall by 10.4% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 181%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.
Check out our latest analysis for Okumura
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from ¥60.00 total annually to ¥220.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 14% per annum over that time. Okumura has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Okumura's EPS has fallen by approximately 10% per year during the past five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future.
We're Not Big Fans Of Okumura's Dividend
Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The company seems to be stretching itself a bit to make such big payments, but it doesn't appear they can be consistent over time. Considering all of these factors, we wouldn't rely on this dividend if we wanted to live on the income.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Okumura (of which 2 can't be ignored!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:1833
Adequate balance sheet with slight risk.
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