Stock Analysis

Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Kajima Corporation (TSE:1812) Even After 27% Share Price Boost

TSE:1812
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Kajima Corporation (TSE:1812) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 18% is also fairly reasonable.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Kajima's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.5x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Japan is similar at about 13x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

We've discovered 2 warning signs about Kajima. View them for free.

Kajima could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Kajima

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:1812 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 7th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think Kajima's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
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Does Growth Match The P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Kajima's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.1%. EPS has also lifted 16% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 13% each year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.8% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's curious that Kajima's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Kajima's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Kajima currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Having said that, be aware Kajima is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit concerning.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Kajima. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kajima might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.