Matsui Construction Co., Ltd. (TSE:1810) will pay a dividend of ¥15.00 on the 30th of June. This takes the annual payment to 3.2% of the current stock price, which is about average for the industry.
View our latest analysis for Matsui Construction
Matsui Construction's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. Before making this announcement, Matsui Construction was earning enough to cover the dividend, but it wasn't generating any free cash flows. No cash flows could definitely make returning cash to shareholders difficult, or at least mean the balance sheet will come under pressure.
Unless the company can turn things around, EPS could fall by 5.0% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 53%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥8.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥30.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 14% per annum over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
Matsui Construction May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's not great to see that Matsui Construction's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 5.0% per year over the past five years. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits.
Matsui Construction's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Matsui Construction will make a great income stock. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Matsui Construction (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:1810
Matsui Construction
Engages in the civil engineering, designing, supervising, and construction business in Japan.
Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.
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