Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Taisei (TSE:1801) Is Using Debt Extensively

TSE:1801
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Taisei Corporation (TSE:1801) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Taisei

How Much Debt Does Taisei Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Taisei had JP¥376.3b of debt, up from JP¥201.7b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds JP¥434.7b in cash, so it actually has JP¥58.4b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:1801 Debt to Equity History June 22nd 2024

How Strong Is Taisei's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Taisei had liabilities of JP¥1.30t due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥319.9b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥434.7b as well as receivables valued at JP¥864.3b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total JP¥323.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Taisei has a market capitalization of JP¥1.08t, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Taisei boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

It is just as well that Taisei's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 53% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Taisei can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Taisei has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Taisei recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Summing Up

While Taisei does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of JP¥58.4b. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Taisei's balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Taisei .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.