Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Tomita Co., Ltd. (TYO:8147) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does Tomita Carry?
As you can see below, Tomita had JP¥361.0m of debt at December 2020, down from JP¥385.0m a year prior. But it also has JP¥5.14b in cash to offset that, meaning it has JP¥4.78b net cash.
How Strong Is Tomita's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Tomita had liabilities of JP¥3.79b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥1.41b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had JP¥5.14b in cash and JP¥3.90b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has JP¥3.85b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus strongly suggests that Tomita has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Succinctly put, Tomita boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In fact Tomita's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 76% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Tomita will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Tomita has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Tomita's free cash flow amounted to 44% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Tomita has JP¥4.78b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we don't have any problem with Tomita's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Tomita (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About TSE:8147
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