Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Seiko Corporation (TYO:6286) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Seiko
What Is Seiko's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Seiko had JP¥3.64b of debt, up from JP¥2.55b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has JP¥5.69b in cash to offset that, meaning it has JP¥2.05b net cash.
How Healthy Is Seiko's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Seiko had liabilities of JP¥9.10b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥1.90b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥5.69b in cash and JP¥3.63b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥1.69b.
Seiko has a market capitalization of JP¥4.22b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Seiko also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
On top of that, Seiko grew its EBIT by 35% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Seiko will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Seiko may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Seiko's free cash flow amounted to 21% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Summing up
While Seiko does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of JP¥2.05b. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 35% over the last year. So we are not troubled with Seiko's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Seiko you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About TSE:6286
Seiko
Engages in the manufacture, sale, repair, and remodeling of packaging machines and cold forged parts in Japan.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.