Does A-One Seimitsu's (TYO:6156) Returns On Capital Reflect Well On The Business?
To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications of aging. Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. Trends like this ultimately mean the business is reducing its investments and also earning less on what it has invested. In light of that, from a first glance at A-One Seimitsu (TYO:6156), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on A-One Seimitsu is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.04 = JP¥347m ÷ (JP¥8.9b - JP¥177m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Therefore, A-One Seimitsu has an ROCE of 4.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Machinery industry average of 6.4%.
View our latest analysis for A-One Seimitsu
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of A-One Seimitsu, check out these free graphs here.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at A-One Seimitsu. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 6.7% that they were earning five years ago. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect A-One Seimitsu to turn into a multi-bagger.
The Key Takeaway
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. However the stock has delivered a 79% return to shareholders over the last five years, so investors might be expecting the trends to turn around. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for A-One Seimitsu (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) that you should know about.
While A-One Seimitsu may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:6156
Flawless balance sheet slight.