Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought Tenryu Saw Mfg's (TYO:5945) Shares A Year Ago You Would Be Down 18%

TSE:5945
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It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. Active investors aim to buy stocks that vastly outperform the market - but in the process, they risk under-performance. For example, the Tenryu Saw Mfg. Co., Ltd. (TYO:5945) share price is down 18% in the last year. That's well below the market return of 6.9%. Longer term shareholders haven't suffered as badly, since the stock is down a comparatively less painful 9.6% in three years.

View our latest analysis for Tenryu Saw Mfg

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Unfortunately Tenryu Saw Mfg reported an EPS drop of 23% for the last year. This fall in the EPS is significantly worse than the 18% the share price fall. So despite the weak per-share profits, some investors are probably relieved the situation wasn't more difficult.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
JASDAQ:5945 Earnings Per Share Growth December 29th 2020

This free interactive report on Tenryu Saw Mfg's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Tenryu Saw Mfg the TSR over the last year was -16%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 6.9% in the last year, Tenryu Saw Mfg shareholders lost 16% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 4% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Tenryu Saw Mfg better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Tenryu Saw Mfg you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on JP exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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