Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Saita (FKSE:1999) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

FKSE:1999
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Saita Corporation (FKSE:1999) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Saita

How Much Debt Does Saita Carry?

As you can see below, Saita had JP„1.98b of debt, at December 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has JP„1.72b in cash leading to net debt of about JP„262.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
FKSE:1999 Debt to Equity History March 27th 2021

How Healthy Is Saita's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Saita had liabilities of JP„2.74b due within a year, and liabilities of JP„579.0m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP„1.72b as well as receivables valued at JP„1.85b due within 12 months. So it actually has JP„246.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity suggests that Saita is taking a careful approach to debt. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Saita's net debt is only 0.29 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 19.3 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. It is just as well that Saita's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 31% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Saita's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Saita's free cash flow amounted to 32% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Saita is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. Considering this range of data points, we think Saita is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Saita has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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