The board of The Toho Bank, Ltd. (TSE:8346) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥5.00 per share on the 5th of December. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 2.3% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Toho Bank's stock price has increased by 35% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
Toho Bank's Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings
While yield is important, another factor to consider about a company's dividend is whether the current payout levels are feasible.
Toho Bank has established itself as a dividend paying company with over 10 years history of distributing earnings to shareholders. Past distributions do not necessarily guarantee future ones, but Toho Bank's payout ratio of 26% is a good sign as this means that earnings decently cover dividends.
If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 20.7% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the future payout ratio will be 24%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Check out our latest analysis for Toho Bank
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ¥8.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥10.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 2.3% over that duration. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's encouraging to see that Toho Bank has been growing its earnings per share at 21% a year over the past five years. Earnings per share is growing at a solid clip, and the payout ratio is low which we think is an ideal combination in a dividend stock as the company can quite easily raise the dividend in the future.
Toho Bank Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock
Overall, a dividend increase is always good, and we think that Toho Bank is a strong income stock thanks to its track record and growing earnings. Distributions are quite easily covered by earnings, which are also being converted to cash flows. All of these factors considered, we think this has solid potential as a dividend stock.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Toho Bank that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Toho Bank might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:8346
Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.
Market Insights
Community Narratives

