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Benign Growth For Fuji Oozx Inc. (TSE:7299) Underpins Stock's 31% Plummet
The Fuji Oozx Inc. (TSE:7299) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 31%. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 32%, which is great even in a bull market.
Even after such a large drop in price, Fuji Oozx may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.8x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 14x and even P/E's higher than 21x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Fuji Oozx certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Fuji Oozx
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
Fuji Oozx's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 154%. As a result, it also grew EPS by 6.8% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 9.8% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's understandable that Fuji Oozx's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Fuji Oozx have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Fuji Oozx revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Fuji Oozx, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of Fuji Oozx's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
About TSE:7299
Fuji Oozx
Engages in the manufacturing and sale of engine valves and other engine related components in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.