Is Honda (TSE:7267) Undervalued? A Closer Look at Recent Share Price Trends and Long-Term Prospects

Simply Wall St
Honda Motor (TSE:7267) shares have lagged in recent months, slipping over 12% in the past 3 months and down nearly 2% this month. Investors are weighing recent performance in relation to long-term trends and underlying fundamentals.

See our latest analysis for Honda Motor.

Stepping back from the short-term slips, Honda Motor’s share price has softened recently. Yet the bigger story is its strong 12-month total shareholder return of nearly 12 percent, and an impressive 49 percent over three years. This momentum suggests that, even with the recent pullback, long-term holders have seen significant gains as the company continues to push through shifting industry trends.

If changes across the auto sector have your attention, it’s worth exploring what’s happening beyond Honda by checking out See the full list for free.

With shares trading nearly 17 percent below analyst targets and long-term performance still robust, investors face a key question: Is Honda undervalued at current levels, or is the market already factoring in the company’s growth potential?

Most Popular Narrative: 14.2% Undervalued

Honda Motor’s share price sits well below the most widely watched fair value estimate, offering a rare divergence between market sentiment and analyst consensus. This sets the scene for a closer look at the driving forces behind its valuation.

Strategic localization of production, with an emphasis on increasing North American production (for example, potential shift to 3-shift operations in US plants) and plans to localize hybrid system manufacturing in the US, enhances supply chain resilience and could mitigate tariff and trade risk over the long term, leading to stabilized costs and improved net margins.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how a new supply chain strategy and bold operational pivots could reshape Honda’s future profits? The narrative hinges on ambitious margin and growth assumptions. Discover what big forecasts and key metrics support this fair value and why the market might be overlooking them.

Result: Fair Value of ¥1,738 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, ongoing declines in key markets and substantial losses from Honda's EV business could challenge the optimistic outlook that analysts have set.

Find out about the key risks to this Honda Motor narrative.

Build Your Own Honda Motor Narrative

If you’re curious to reach your own conclusions or prefer digging into the numbers yourself, it’s easy to build a custom perspective in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Honda Motor research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Honda Motor might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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