Stock Analysis

Here's Why Ichikoh Industries (TSE:7244) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

TSE:7244
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Ichikoh Industries, Ltd. (TSE:7244) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Ichikoh Industries

What Is Ichikoh Industries's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Ichikoh Industries had JPÂ¥800.0m of debt in June 2024, down from JPÂ¥2.84b, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds JPÂ¥9.85b in cash, so it actually has JPÂ¥9.05b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:7244 Debt to Equity History September 29th 2024

How Strong Is Ichikoh Industries' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ichikoh Industries had liabilities of JPÂ¥48.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of JPÂ¥11.1b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JPÂ¥9.85b and JPÂ¥40.6b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JPÂ¥8.74b.

Given Ichikoh Industries has a market capitalization of JPÂ¥45.0b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Ichikoh Industries also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

But the bad news is that Ichikoh Industries has seen its EBIT plunge 18% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ichikoh Industries can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Ichikoh Industries may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Ichikoh Industries actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

While Ichikoh Industries does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of JPÂ¥9.05b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of JPÂ¥8.7b, being 104% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Ichikoh Industries's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Ichikoh Industries .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.