The board of Musashi Seimitsu Industry Co., Ltd. (TSE:7220) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥25.00 per share on the 2nd of December. Based on this payment, the dividend yield for the company will be 2.5%, which is fairly typical for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Musashi Seimitsu Industry
Musashi Seimitsu Industry's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. However, prior to this announcement, Musashi Seimitsu Industry's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 18.9% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 37% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥22.00 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥50.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 8.6% over that duration. A reasonable rate of dividend growth is good to see, but we're wary that the dividend history is not as solid as we'd like, having been cut at least once.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. In the last five years, Musashi Seimitsu Industry's earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 4.9% per annum. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits. Earnings are forecast to grow over the next 12 months and if that happens we could still be a little bit cautious until it becomes a pattern.
Our Thoughts On Musashi Seimitsu Industry's Dividend
Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Musashi Seimitsu Industry that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Musashi Seimitsu Industry not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:7220
Musashi Seimitsu Industry
Manufactures and sells transportation equipment in Japan and internationally.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.