Stock Analysis

Does Yokohama Rubber Company (TSE:5101) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TSE:5101
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that The Yokohama Rubber Company, Limited (TSE:5101) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Yokohama Rubber Company

What Is Yokohama Rubber Company's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Yokohama Rubber Company had JP¥488.1b of debt, up from JP¥259.1b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have JP¥99.0b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about JP¥389.1b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:5101 Debt to Equity History August 8th 2024

A Look At Yokohama Rubber Company's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Yokohama Rubber Company had liabilities of JP¥350.4b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥509.0b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥99.0b in cash and JP¥250.0b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥510.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of JP¥483.5b, we think shareholders really should watch Yokohama Rubber Company's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

We'd say that Yokohama Rubber Company's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.2), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 135 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Importantly, Yokohama Rubber Company grew its EBIT by 64% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Yokohama Rubber Company's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Yokohama Rubber Company recorded free cash flow of 38% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Both Yokohama Rubber Company's ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. On the other hand, its level of total liabilities makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Yokohama Rubber Company's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Yokohama Rubber Company , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.